Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238941           5          17          56          20           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105616           3          14          57          21           5        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   9.66343e-07           1           0          37          51          11        M1.2
est. ISN   =            80           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             2.50        8.50       53.75       29.75        5.50     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C8.8