Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237203           1          26          59          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103024           3          17          55          22           3        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   8.30086e-07           1           0          54          37           8        C8.3
est. ISN   =            55           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.25       16.50       57.50       21.25        3.50     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1