Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235517           4          42          44          10           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000986598           3          18          53          23           3        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   6.89861e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.6
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             2.00       16.00       53.50       25.25        3.25     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3