Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233999           4          44          38          13           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000951214           1          34          51          13           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   6.36799e-07           1           0          64          30           5        C6.9
est. ISN   =            56           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.75       24.25       54.00       18.00        2.00     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5