Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235337           5          40          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000968402           2          29          51          16           2        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   7.47533e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.9
est. ISN   =            51           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             2.00       21.75       53.00       20.50        2.75     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9