Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235873           4          34          51          10           1        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000975300           3          25          51          18           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   8.86206e-07           1           0          48          46           5        M1.0
est. ISN   =            65           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.75       17.25       53.50       23.75        2.75     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C7.8