Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241459           3          16          62          17           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105154           3          14          57          21           5        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   1.99449e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            62           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             3.00       11.00       50.75       29.25        6.00     C5.1
 
realized                                                                                      X8.1