Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240645           3          13          65          17           2        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101600           1          17          58          22           2        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   1.40870e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            92           1           0          76          18           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.50        7.50       56.00       29.00        6.00     C5.2
 
realized                                                                                      X4.2