Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240276           2          12          65          19           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100729           1          16          56          24           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   1.33740e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            82           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             1.50        7.25       51.00       33.75        6.50     C6.6
 
realized                                                                                      M2.7