Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238694           5          19          57          17           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000982153           3          21          52          21           3        C2.6
GOES Xray  =   1.09224e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            80           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             2.50       10.75       49.75       31.00        6.00     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C6.9