Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239310           2          13          62          21           2        C3.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000989189           2          19          51          25           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   1.28871e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            85           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             1.50        8.25       49.25       34.75        6.25     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      C7.3