Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242921           2          15          62          18           3        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103766           3          19          54          19           5        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   2.00759e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            91           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.75        8.50       53.75       29.00        7.00     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      M2.7