Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237546           3          26          59          10           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000974422           3          25          51          18           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   1.01651e-06           1           0          30          59          10        M1.4
est. ISN   =            72           1           5          54          36           4        C7.0
 
together                             2.00       14.00       48.50       30.75        4.75     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      M2.8