Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236935           1          29          57          11           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000967488           2          30          51          15           2        C2.0
GOES Xray  =   1.00644e-06           1           0          31          59           9        M1.3
est. ISN   =            55           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.50       20.25       50.00       24.75        3.50     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4