Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232831           4          45          41          10           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000903123           5          49          37           9           0        B9.2
GOES Xray  =   4.70804e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C5.2
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             3.50       28.50       55.00       12.00        1.00     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4