Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232401           5          40          46           9           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000890487           4          45          43           8           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   4.21954e-07           1           1          80          16           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             2.50       26.25       58.50       12.00        0.75     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C6.0