Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232169           6          42          47           5           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000887495           5          45          40          10           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   3.88414e-07           1           3          78          18           0        C3.2
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             4.00       29.50       56.25       10.00        0.25     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8