Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232566           5          43          45           7           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000893088           5          44          43           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   4.53772e-07           2           1          81          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             4.25       31.00       54.75        9.00        1.00     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8