Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232217           6          42          46           6           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000886418           6          43          41          10           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   4.02777e-07           1           2          77          19           1        C3.2
est. ISN   =            26           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                             4.75       35.25       49.50       10.25        0.25     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2