Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231231           9          39          42          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000870886          13          44          39           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   3.06606e-07           4          11          75          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =             2          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            19.25       33.50       41.25        6.00        0.00     B8.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2