Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231033           9          39          41          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000868291          12          45          39           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   3.11826e-07           3          11          77           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =             5          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            18.75       33.75       41.50        6.00        0.00     B8.2
 
realized                                                                                      B5.4