Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232308           5          42          45           8           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000889104           5          46          41           8           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   5.34355e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =             1          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            15.50       32.00       40.50       11.25        0.75     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4