Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235550           5          40          44          10           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000942176           1          37          52          10           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   9.07813e-07           1           0          47          45           7        M1.1
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                             9.00       32.00       40.25       16.75        2.00     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      M2.3