Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235555           5          40          44          10           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000950037           1          34          50          14           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   8.03968e-07           1           0          53          38           8        C8.6
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                             5.25       33.25       42.75       16.25        2.50     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C6.3