Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235727           4          36          49          10           1        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000951239           1          34          51          13           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   8.00840e-07           1           0          53          38           8        C8.6
est. ISN   =            24           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                             3.25       31.00       46.75       16.50        2.50     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5