Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237050           1          29          57          12           1        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000976826           3          25          51          18           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   9.77102e-07           1           0          36          53          10        M1.2
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             2.50       27.25       43.50       23.25        3.50     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C6.4