Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236500           2          30          58           8           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000972006           2          27          51          17           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   8.48196e-07           1           0          51          40           8        C9.0
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             1.50       18.00       57.50       19.50        3.50     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C6.1