Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235842           4          33          51          11           1        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000960701           2          31          52          14           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   7.75594e-07           1           0          51          41           7        C9.8
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             2.25       20.75       55.50       18.50        3.00     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.5