Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234626           4          48          35          12           1        B9.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000936966           4          39          48           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   6.41285e-07           1           0          65          29           5        C6.8
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             2.25       26.25       53.50       16.25        1.75     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9