Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233413           3          48          37          12           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000915722           8          52          34           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   5.07061e-07           2           1          64          32           1        C6.0
est. ISN   =            56           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             3.75       30.00       49.25       16.50        0.50     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9