Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233756           2          46          40          12           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000919233           7          53          34           6           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   5.66695e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C5.1
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             2.50       29.25       52.50       14.50        1.25     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2