Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233369           3          48          37          12           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000912110           8          49          36           7           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   5.58648e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C5.3
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             3.25       28.00       53.25       14.25        1.25     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C7.8