Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233022           3          48          37          12           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000907620           6          51          35           8           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   5.02131e-07           2           1          62          34           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             3.25       28.75       50.75       16.75        0.50     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C4.6