Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233217           4          48          37          11           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000905104           6          50          35           9           0        B8.8
GOES Xray  =   5.78375e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.5
est. ISN   =            66           3           7          70          19           1        C3.2
 
together                             3.25       26.25       52.75       16.75        1.00     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1