Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232903           4          46          39          11           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000898841           5          43          42          10           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   5.35489e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            62           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             3.75       25.75       52.00       17.25        1.25     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C4.0