Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231675           7          40          44           9           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000865452          11          47          38           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   4.50160e-07           2           1          83          12           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =            38           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             6.50       34.50       50.50        8.00        0.50     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4