Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230473          10          41          38          11           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000842798          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   3.08862e-07           3          11          77           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             7.50       30.75       52.25        9.00        0.50     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      M2.7