Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230551          11          41          37          11           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000843576          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   3.13034e-07           3          11          76          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             8.00       34.00       48.75        8.75        0.50     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      M2.7