Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230154          11          42          38           9           0        B7.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000837113          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   2.61792e-07           1          31          62           6           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                             8.25       43.75       41.50        6.50        0.00     B9.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3