Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230145          12          42          37           9           0        B7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000837031          14          48          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   2.67459e-07           1          29          63           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            10.50       44.50       38.50        6.50        0.00     B8.5
 
realized                                                                                      B4.9