Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230866          10          39          40          11           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000852661          13          49          35           3           0        B6.9
GOES Xray  =   3.00632e-07           3          18          70           9           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             8.25       40.00       44.25        7.50        0.00     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1