Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231437           9          35          45          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000865939          12          47          38           3           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   3.82682e-07           1           5          79          15           0        C3.1
est. ISN   =            65           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             6.50       24.25       56.25       12.50        0.50     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.4