Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236874           1          29          58          10           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000961355           2          31          50          15           2        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   1.03062e-06           1           0          30          59          10        M1.4
est. ISN   =            70           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             1.00       16.00       51.50       27.50        4.00     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      M3.9