Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236617           1          32          56           9           2        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000966977           2          31          50          15           2        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   8.72144e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.8
est. ISN   =            83           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             1.00       16.00       53.75       25.00        4.25     C4.3
 
realized                                                                                      C5.4