Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236298           4          29          57           9           1        C1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000962749           1          30          52          15           2        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   8.68576e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.8
est. ISN   =            81           2           1          63          28           6        C6.5
 
together                             1.75       15.00       55.75       23.50        4.00     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3