Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236151           4          31          54          10           1        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000957701           2          33          52          12           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   7.95989e-07           1           0          52          39           8        C9.0
est. ISN   =            83           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             1.75       16.25       54.25       23.75        4.00     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5