Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235786           4          34          50          11           1        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000951543           1          34          51          13           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   7.59954e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =            83           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             1.75       17.25       52.00       25.00        4.00     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      X1.4