Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234119           4          44          39          12           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000927017           4          45          45           6           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   5.94865e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.5
est. ISN   =            81           2           1          63          28           6        C6.5
 
together                             2.50       22.50       53.75       18.75        2.50     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5