Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234213           4          46          37          12           1        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000926909           4          46          44           6           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   6.11114e-07           1           0          64          32           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =            82           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             2.50       23.25       51.00       20.75        2.50     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      C8.1