Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235524           4          41          44          10           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000946147           1          35          52          12           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   7.58385e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =            90           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.75       19.00       54.75       21.00        3.50     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      M3.5